Transition Plan to Sustainable Post-Fossil Energy
Andrii Zvorygin yN-PH2196 mtH2a1* & GPT4
from Owen Sound,
attender of Glad Tidings Fellowship, Tara, ON
May 29, 2024
*https://anabaptist.ca https://x.com/aizvo
Contents
1 Foundation
1.1 Work hours per week by lifestyle:
2 Family Level
3 Community Level
3.1 Load-Bearing Animals
3.2 Load-Bearing Animals for a Food Forest Community
3.3 Electricity Requirements:
3.4 Total Daily Consumption:
3.5 Estimated Mineral Quantities
3.6 Total Mineral Quantities
4 Village (Around 360):
4.1 Village Building Design:
4.2 Heating and Cooling:
4.3 Electronic Requirements:
4.4 Gravel Roads Maintenance:
4.5 Internet Connectivity
4.6 Renewable Energy Sources
4.7 Water Supply
4.8 Sanitation
4.9 Village Transportation
4.10 Energy Summary
4.11 Mineral Requirements
4.12 Waste Management
4.13 Humanure Biogas Facility
5 Neighbourhood/Microrayon (Around 5,040):
5.1 Fisher-Tropsch Process
6 City (Around 55,440):
6.1 Nuclear Reserves
6.2 Computer Chip Manufacturing
6.3 Solar Panel Manufacturing
6.4 Thin Film Solar Panels
6.5 Radio Equipment Manufacture
7 Higher Levels
7.1 County/Graff/Raion (Around to 720,720):
7.2 Province/Oblast (Around 4,324,320):
7.3 Country (Around 21,621,600):
7.4 Union (Around 367,567,200):
7.5 Continental (Around 6,983,776,800 or a continent/subcontinent)
7.6 Planetary Organization:
1 Foundation
The foundation is a basic right to land or some land-distribution scheme, where each person is
able to have enough land to grow their own food and firewood. For simplicity we will assume this
is an area with 6 months growing season, and at least 500mm annual rainfall, so 1 global hectare
will suffice to meet all food and firewood needs for 1 perosn, or roughly 24Gj of energy per
hectare be that food or firewood.
The idea is to setup systems that while they may need much effort initially, should allow for
more free time.
1.1 Work hours per week by lifestyle:
- 15-20 hrs hunter gatherer,
- 25hrs swidden horticulture (slash and burn),
- 30hrs field agriculture (peasant),
- 35hrs OECD employee.
- 45hrs OECD Entrepreneur,
- 60hrs OECD Farmer.
Historically Finns practiced Swidden or Slash and burn horticulture 25hrs/week. And
food forest should be similar time investment but once mature in the 15-20hr gatherer
range.
2 Family Level
A single person can’t live sustainably on their own, as they may get sick or hurt, and will need
care. So a family is a more logical unit. Using Superior Highly Composite Numbers (SHCN) we
will assume a family or a team of 6 people, which could be parents, children, and grandparents, or
some other combination of people.
It is presumed that the bulk of residential buildings are made with local materials using
manual labour, so are not included in energy/mineral requirements.
daily energy usage might be:
- LED lighting: 0.5 kWh/day
- Laptop: 0.2 kWh/day
- Smartphone charging: 0.02 kWh/day
- High-efficiency fridge: 1 kWh/day
- Water pump: 0.375 kWh/day
- Ventilation: 0.18 kWh/day
- Desktop computer and monitor: 0.6 kWh/day
- Total = 2.875 kWh/day
For a month, this would equate to roughly 86.25 kWh. Again, these are estimates and actual
usage could vary. It’s also important to note that desktops may not be used every day, or for the
full duration estimated here, which would affect the overall energy consumption. Additionally, if
the desktop is used for more intensive tasks, the energy consumption could be higher than
estimated.
In summary, for a system designed to provide 3 kWh per day on average, you might
consider:
- Solar Panels: Approximately 1.5 kW total capacity, likely more to account for winter
months and inefficiencies.
- Batteries: Around 18 kWh of usable capacity, translating to 36 kWh of lead-acid
batteries or less if using lithium-ion batteries.
It’s crucial to get a local solar professional to conduct a detailed assessment, as
they can provide the most accurate system sizing based on your specific location and
needs.
Summary of Mineral Estimates:
for the appliances
Metals and Other Elements:
- Gallium: 0.5 mg per LED chip (assuming a household uses around 10-20 chips) =
5-10 mg
- Rare Earth Elements: For LEDs, laptops, smartphones, and desktops combined =
22-33 grams
- Aluminum: For LED heat sinks, laptop casing, refrigerator, desktop casing = 2.5-3.5
kg
- Copper: For laptop, smartphone, fridge, water pump, ventilation, desktop = 3-5 kg
- Lithium: For laptop and smartphone batteries = 23-50 grams
- Gold: For smartphone and desktop circuitry = 0.234 grams
- Steel: For fridge, water pump, and ventilation system = 57-115 kg
- Refrigerant: For the fridge (specific type and quantity vary widely)
Approximate Totals:
- Gallium: 0.00001 grams
- Rare Earth Elements: 22-33 grams
- Aluminum: 2,500-3,500 grams
- Copper: 3,000-5,000 grams
- Lithium: 23-50 grams
- Gold: 0.234 grams
- Steel: 57,000-115,000 grams
- Refrigerant: Varies
for wiring:
- Copper: 20-50 kg
- PVC (for insulation): This would depend on the gauge of the wire and the total length,
but it could be about half the weight of the copper or less.
- Tin/Lead/Silver: These would be present in much smaller amounts, typically less than
a kilogram in total for a small household.
To give you a very rough estimate for the entire solar panels + batteries + inverter
setup:
3 Community Level
A family can’t really be sustainable on it’s own, and is best part of a group, which averages
about 50-60 people for maximum social cohesion and economies of scale. Can have a building for
gathering together, but it would be made from locally sourced materials. Can also
have a bell for an audible announcment to the local area that there is an event or an
important announcmenet. As well there would be 5-10Watt radio station to broadcast
to the meetings and announcments. Otherwise the community could have fiber optic
internet.
For a community church service including a desktop computer, projector, speakers, LED
lights, a 10W FM transmitter, microphones, and a router for a local fiber optic network, here’s an
estimate of the minimum electricity requirements and the solar or wind setup needed to
maintain it. We’ll also consider the energy storage required for reliability through variable
conditions.
3.1 Load-Bearing Animals
In terms of transporation each community could have a horse, oxen or two, or equivalent beasts of
burden, for use in the community, and possibly contributing to the village horse/oxen team -
notably each bovine/equine needs about as much land per capita as a human. Otherwise residents
could walk or bike.
3.2 Load-Bearing Animals for a Food Forest Community
Here’s a comprehensive guide on selecting and managing load-bearing animals for a food forest
community, ordered by their utility and suitability:
3.2.1 1. Equines (Horses and Mules)
Weight: 400-600 kg
Diet: Grasses, hay, grains
Maintenance: High; regular grooming, hoof care, veterinary care, and dental care.
Climate Suitability: Adaptable to various climates, thrive in temperate regions.
Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 1-2 hectares per animal for grazing.
Carrying Capacity: Horses can carry up to 150-200 kg; mules can carry up to 80-120
kg.
Pulling Capacity: Horses can pull up to 1,500-2,000 kg on wheels; mules similar but slightly
less.
Speed Range: 5-10 km/h for sustained travel, up to 30-40 km/h at a gallop (short
distances).
Disadvantages: High maintenance, significant food and water needs, potential for
overgrazing.
Secondary Products: None typically, but some breeds may provide milk or hides.
Viability in a Food Forest: Excellent for transportation and heavy labor; need to be managed
to prevent overgrazing.
3.2.2 2. Bovines (Oxen and Yaks)
Weight: 500-900 kg for oxen; 300-600 kg for yaks
Diet: Grasses, hay, grains, shrubs (yaks can handle rougher forage).
Maintenance: Moderate; regular hoof care, veterinary attention, shelter in extreme
weather.
Climate Suitability: Oxen are adaptable to various climates; yaks are best suited for cold and
mountainous regions.
Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 1-2 hectares per animal for grazing.
Carrying Capacity: Yaks can carry up to 100 kg.
Pulling Capacity: Oxen can pull up to 1,000-1,500 kg on wheels.
Speed Range: 3-5 km/h for sustained travel.
Disadvantages: Slower than equines, require more space and forage, need secure fencing.
Secondary Products: Milk, meat, hides, and in the case of yaks, wool.
Viability in a Food Forest: Valuable for carrying heavy loads and working the land; efficient
grazers; good for rotational grazing systems to maintain soil health.
3.2.3 3. Camelids (Llamas and Alpacas)
Weight: Llamas: 113-181 kg; Alpacas: 54-86 kg
Diet: Grasses, hay, rough forage.
Maintenance: Low to moderate; regular grooming, hoof care, occasional veterinary
care.
Climate Suitability: Adaptable to various climates, including mountainous and cooler
regions.
Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 0.5-1 hectare per animal for grazing.
Carrying Capacity: Llamas can carry up to 23-45 kg; Alpacas up to 11-21 kg.
Pulling Capacity: Not typically used for pulling.
Speed Range: 3-5 km/h for sustained travel.
Disadvantages: Territorial; may not integrate well with other livestock; requires proper
fencing.
Secondary Products: Wool (especially alpacas), meat, hides.
Viability in a Food Forest: Suitable for light transport; gentle on the land; less likely to
overgraze.
3.2.4 4. Pack Animals (Donkeys and Reindeer)
Donkeys:
- Weight: 180-300 kg
- Diet: Grasses, hay, rough forage.
- Maintenance: Lower maintenance than horses; regular grooming, hoof care,
occasional veterinary checks.
- Climate Suitability: Well-suited to arid and semi-arid climates.
- Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 1 hectare per animal for grazing.
- Carrying Capacity: Donkeys can carry up to 36-90 kg.
- Pulling Capacity: Donkeys can pull up to 500-800 kg on wheels.
- Speed Range: 4-8 km/h for sustained travel.
- Disadvantages: Less powerful than horses; can be stubborn.
- Secondary Products: Milk, hides.
- Viability in a Food Forest: Ideal for light transport and labor; hardy and require
less food than horses.
Reindeer:
- Weight: 80-180 kg
- Diet: Lichens, grasses, herbs, leaves, and fungi.
- Maintenance: Moderate; requires secure fencing and regular veterinary care.
Adapted to cold climates.
- Climate Suitability: Best suited for cold and Arctic climates.
- Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 1-2 hectares per animal for
grazing.
- Carrying Capacity: Reindeer can carry up to 16-45 kg.
- Pulling Capacity: Can pull up to 300-500 kg.
- Speed Range: 5-9 km/h for sustained travel.
- Disadvantages: Require cold climates, potential for overgrazing if not managed
properly.
- Secondary Products: Milk, meat, hides, antlers.
- Viability in a Food Forest: Suitable for carrying loads and pulling in cold climates;
need to be managed to prevent overgrazing.
3.2.5 5. Small Ruminants (Goats)
Weight: 45-136 kg, depending on breed.
Diet: Browsers that eat a variety of plants, including weeds, shrubs, and young trees.
Maintenance: Moderate; regular hoof care, deworming, veterinary attention; adept at escaping,
needing secure fencing.
Climate Suitability: Highly adaptable, including arid regions.
Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 0.5-1 hectare per animal for grazing and
browsing.
Carrying Capacity: Goats can carry up to 9-34 kg.
Pulling Capacity: Not typically used for pulling.
Speed Range: 4-6 km/h for sustained travel.
Disadvantages: Can be highly destructive if not managed properly, potential for
overbrowsing.
Secondary Products: Milk, meat, hides, fiber (from certain breeds like Angora goats).
Viability in a Food Forest: Beneficial for clearing underbrush and controlling weeds; need
careful management to prevent crop and tree damage.
3.2.6 6. Cervids (Moose)
Weight: 400-700 kg
Diet: Leaves, twigs, aquatic plants.
Maintenance: Moderate; requires large grazing areas and secure fencing.
Climate Suitability: Best suited for cold and temperate forests.
Per Capita Land Requirement: Approximately 2-4 hectares per animal for adequate
forage.
Carrying Capacity: Moose can carry up to 80-140 kg.
Pulling Capacity: Can pull up to 500-800 kg.
Speed Range: 5-10 km/h for sustained travel.
Disadvantages: Very large and require significant space and forage; need secure fencing.
Secondary Products: Meat, hides, antlers.
Viability in a Food Forest: Useful for heavy loads in cold climates; require careful
management.
3.2.7 Summary and Recommendations
Selecting the right load-bearing animals involves balancing their dietary needs, maintenance
requirements, carrying and pulling capacities, and impact on the ecosystem. Here’s the
summary:
-
1.
- Equines (Horses and Mules): Best for heavy labor and transportation; adaptable,
require significant care and space; provide transportation and labor without secondary
products.
-
2.
- Bovines (Oxen and Yaks): Ideal for heavy loads and cold climates; provide milk,
meat, hides, and wool (yaks); efficient grazers.
-
3.
- Camelids (Llamas and Alpacas): Suitable for light transport; adaptable to various
climates; provide wool, meat, and hides; gentle on the land.
-
4.
- Pack Animals (Donkeys and Reindeer): Hardy and suitable for light labor;
donkeys thrive in arid regions, reindeer in cold climates; provide milk, hides, and
antlers.
-
5.
- Small Ruminants (Goats): Useful for clearing underbrush; adaptable; provide milk,
meat, hides, and fiber; need careful management.
-
6.
- Cervids (Moose): Suitable for heavy loads in cold climates; provide meat, hides,
and antlers; require significant space and careful management.
3.2.8 Considerations for Implementation
- Rotational Grazing: Helps prevent overgrazing and maintains soil health.
- Secure Fencing: Essential for containing animals and protecting crops.
- Proper Diet and Care: Ensures the health and productivity of the animals.
- Integration into Ecosystem: Animals should be managed to complement the food
forest’s ecological balance.
By thoughtfully integrating these animals, a food forest can achieve sustainable and efficient labor
and transport, enhancing overall productivity and resilience.
3.3 Electricity Requirements:
- LED Lighting: 0.5 kWh/day
- Laptop (for projector): 0.2 kWh/day
- Smartphone charging: 0.02 kWh/day
- High-efficiency fridge: 1 kWh/day
- Water pump: 0.375 kWh/day
- Ventilation: 0.18 kWh/day
- Desktop computer and monitor: 0.6 kWh/day
- Projector: 0.3 kWh/day (assuming 4 hours of use at 75W)
- Speakers: 0.1 kWh/day (assuming low power usage for small gatherings)
- 10W FM transmitter and microphones: 0.528 kWh/day (accounting for 24-hour
operation)
- Router: 0.05 kWh/day (assuming a small, energy-efficient router)
- Laser Printer: 0.5 kWh/day
3.4 Total Daily Consumption:
The total daily energy consumption with the addition of a laser printer would be approximately
4.253 kWh/day. Revised Solar/Wind Setup:
To meet a daily requirement of 4.253 kWh and assuming an average of 4 peak sun
hours:
- Solar Panels: Increasing the capacity slightly, a total of around 1.1 kW of solar panels
would be needed to comfortably meet this daily energy need, considering inefficiencies.
- Battery Storage: To provide three days of autonomy (common for off-grid systems)
with the increased demand, the battery storage would need to be around 12.759 kWh.
To prevent deep discharge and account for inefficiencies, a total of around 17 kWh of
battery storage would be recommended.
3.5 Estimated Mineral Quantities
-
Solar Panels (1 kW)
- Silicon: Approx. 10-15 kg per kW of panels.
- Silver: Around 20 grams per kW (0.02 kg/kW).
- Aluminum (framing): Approx. 15-25 kg per kW.
-
Battery Storage (15 kWh)
- Lithium (for Lithium-ion): About 0.3 kg per kWh, so roughly 4.5 kg.
- Cobalt: About 0.1 kg per kWh, so approximately 1.5 kg.
- Nickel: About 0.4 kg per kWh, so around 6 kg.
-
Electrical Devices
- Copper (total for all devices): Roughly 1-5 kg (varies greatly based on device
specifications).
- Rare Earth Elements: Less than 1 kg (spread across various devices).
-
Fiber Optic Network
- Silica: Difficult to estimate without knowing the total length of cable. Typically,
a fiber optic cable has about 1-2 kg of silica per kilometer.
- Copper (network devices): Additional few kilograms, depending on the network
scale.
3.6 Total Mineral Quantities
- Silicon: 25-30 kg
- Silver: 0.02 kg
- Aluminum: 15-25 kg
- Lithium: 4.5 kg
- Cobalt: 1.5 kg
- Nickel: 6 kg
- Copper: 2-10 kg (broad estimate)
- Rare Earth Elements: 1 kg
- Silica (Fiber Optic): Varies with length, potentially several tens to hundreds of
kilograms.
4 Village (Around 360):
-
1.
- Council comprises 6 commune leaders and elect a village leader from amongst
themselves.
-
2.
- Local Governance: Addressing immediate local concerns and providing basic public
services.
-
3.
- Basic Infrastructure: Maintenance of local roads, public spaces.
-
4.
- Village FM/VHF Radio: in the 10W range may suffice for village broadcasts, especially
of village meetings.
-
5.
- Village Radio Network: Can co-ordinate with commune UHF radios to repeat
important public broadcasts such as village meetings.
-
6.
- Public Welfare: Establishing and maintaining communal facilities like granaries, for
supporting member communes.
-
7.
- Postal Station: could have a basic post office for mail dropoff and pickup.
-
8.
- Transportation: mainteance of a village van for drop
-
9.
- Biogas facility: to make Bio-CNG for the local van, forge and-or kiln.
-
10.
- Education: Establishing and maintaining primary schools.
-
11.
- Cultural Activities: Organizing local festivals, events, and promoting local traditions
and crafts.
-
12.
- The village leader represents the village at the next organizational level.
For a village of 360 people, creating a multi-purpose village building using local materials is a
practical and sustainable approach. Here’s a detailed analysis of the requirements and
considerations for such a building:
4.1 Village Building Design:
-
1.
- **Assembly Hall**:
- - Size: To accommodate 360 people, assuming about 1 square meter per person,
a hall of at least 360 square meters is needed. Additional space for aisles, stages,
or equipment might increase this requirement.
- - Use: Meetings, cultural events, large gatherings.
-
2.
- **Classrooms (for a school)**:
- - Size: Each classroom for 20-30 students should be around 50-60 square meters.
For the entire village, assuming children make up about 25% of the population,
you would need about 4 to 6 classrooms.
- - Use: Education, small group meetings, workshops.
-
3.
- **Council Meeting Room**:
- - Size: A smaller room, around 30-50 square meters, could be sufficient for council
meetings.
- - Use: Administrative meetings, planning sessions.
-
4.
- **Attached Granary**:
- - Consideration: Climate-controlled storage, possibly utilizing underground
design for thermal stability and pest control.
- - Use: Storing grains and perishable goods.
4.2 Heating and Cooling:
- **Passive Design**: Utilize natural ventilation, thermal mass, and orientation for
passive heating and cooling.
- **Firewood with High Efficiency Furnaces**: Sustainable if sourced locally and
managed responsibly.
4.3 Electronic Requirements:
-
1.
- 1. **Lighting**:
- - Consideration: Climate-controlled storage, possibly utilizing underground
design for thermal stability and pest control.
- - LED lights are energy-efficient and have a long lifespan.
- - Solar panels could be an option for powering lights, supplemented by the local
grid or generators.
-
2.
- 2. **Radio Transmitter**:
- - A low-power transmitter (10W) for village broadcasts.
- - Energy requirements are minimal and can be met through renewable sources
or local grid.
-
3.
- 3. **Computers**:
- - Desktop computer for each council member and at least one server.
- - Energy-efficient models or laptops could be considered to reduce power
consumption.
4.4 Gravel Roads Maintenance:
- - **Materials**: Gravel, sand, and possibly some binding agents.
- - **Maintenance**: Regular grading and compaction, which can be mostly manual
but may benefit from occasional mechanical assistance.
- - **Tools**: Basic road maintenance tools like shovels, rakes, and a manual or
motorized grader.
4.5 Internet Connectivity
Fiber Optic Network: High-speed and reliable internet connectivity is essential for modern
communities. Connecting to community hubs will ensure efficient information flow and
connectivity.
4.6 Renewable Energy Sources
Wind and Solar Power: A combination of these sources can provide a reliable and sustainable
energy supply. The specifics will depend on local climate conditions and geographical
features.
4.7 Water Supply
Cistern or Well: Both are viable options. A cistern can collect and store rainwater, while
a well provides access to groundwater. Water Pump: Essential for both options to
ensure a steady water supply to the building. Solar-powered pumps can be an efficient
choice.
4.8 Sanitation
- Compost Toilets: These are sustainable and reduce water usage.
- System for Large Building: Investigate large-scale compost toilet systems that can
handle the volume from a building of this size. These systems typically separate liquid
and solid waste, reducing odor and facilitating composting.
4.9 Village Transportation
For a village setting, especially one prioritizing sustainability, consider the following:
- Walking and Biking Paths: Encourage non-motorized transport for health and
environmental benefits.
- Village Horse Team: which could consist of horses/oxen from each community within
the village, and may come together for big projects.
- Community Vehicle: For village tasks like waste disposal, resupply and as an emergecy
vehicle could maintain a village van (likely Bio-CNG which uses 18m3/100km).
4.10 Energy Summary
To create an energy usage summary for the described facilities and estimate the renewable energy
(solar and wind) requirements and battery backup, let’s break down the energy needs for each
component and space:
Electronic Requirements
Lighting:
- LED Lights: Assuming an average of 10-20 watts per LED bulb.
- Number of Bulbs: For simplicity, let’s assume 50 bulbs for the entire facility.
- Daily Usage: Assuming an average of 5 hours per day.
Radio Transmitter:
- Power Rating: 10 watts.
- Daily Usage: Assuming intermittent use, 2 hours per day.
Computers:
- Desktop Computers: Assuming 6 for council members and 1 server, each averaging
150 watts.
- Daily Usage: Assuming 8 hours per day for desktops and 24 hours for the server.
Village Building Design
The village building design includes an Assembly Hall, Classrooms, a Council Meeting Room,
and an Attached Granary. The specific energy needs for these spaces will depend on their usage
and equipment. Energy Consumption Calculation
The total daily energy consumption for lighting and electronics will be calculated. This will
inform the requirements for solar-wind energy production and battery backup. Renewable Energy
and Battery Backup
- Solar-Wind Energy: The total daily energy requirement will guide the capacity needed
for solar panels and wind turbines.
- Battery Backup: The battery capacity should be sufficient to cover at least a few days
of operation, factoring in potential days without sufficient sunlight or wind.
Estimated Daily Energy Consumption
- Lighting: 3.75 kWh
- Radio Transmitter: 0.02 kWh
- Desktop Computers: 7.2 kWh
- Server Computer: 3.6 kWh
Total Daily Energy Requirement
Total: 3.75+0.02+7.2+3.6=14.57 kWh/day3.75+0.02+7.2+3.6=14.57 kWh/day
Renewable Energy and Battery Backup Requirements
- Solar-Wind Energy Capacity: To meet the daily demand of 14.57 kWh, a solar and/or
wind system would need to supply this amount daily.
- Weekly Requirement: 14.57 kWh/day×7 days=102 kWh/week14.57 kWh/day×7
days=102 kWh/week
- Battery Backup: For 3 days of autonomy, 14.57 kWh/day×3 days=43.71 kWh14.57
kWh/day×3 days=43.71 kWh
This summary provides an overview of the energy needs for the village facility, focusing on
electronic requirements and excluding climate control, and assists in planning for the necessary
renewable energy infrastructure and battery backup capacity.
- Solar-Wind Energy: The total daily energy requirement will guide the capacity needed
for solar panels and wind turbines.
- Battery Backup: The battery capacity should be sufficient to cover at least a few days
of operation, factoring in potential days without sufficient sunlight or wind.
4.11 Mineral Requirements
To estimate the number of solar panels or wind turbines needed for a village facility with a daily
energy consumption of 14.57 kWh, and to assess the mineral requirements for different types of
batteries, we need to consider several factors:
Solar Panels
-
1.
- 1. **Average Solar Panel Output**: A typical residential solar panel has a power
output of around 250 to 400 watts under optimal conditions.
-
2.
- 2. **Daily Energy Production**: Assuming an average of 5 peak sun hours per day,
a 300-watt panel produces about 1.5 kWh per day.
-
3.
- 3. **Total Panels Required**:
-
4.
- - **Total Solar Panels Required**: Approximately 10 panels.
-
5.
- - **Solar Panels**: The actual number of panels required can vary based on factors
like local sunlight availability, panel efficiency, and potential shading.
-
6.
- - This calculation is based on 300-watt solar panels with an average energy production
of 1.5 kWh per day, assuming 5 peak sun hours.
Wind Turbines
-
1.
- 1. **Average Wind Turbine Output**: Small wind turbines (suitable for a village
setting) can range from 0.5 kW to 10 kW. Let’s consider a 3 kW turbine.
-
2.
- 2. **Daily Energy Production**: This varies widely based on location and wind speed.
Assuming an average of 5 effective full-power hours per day, a 5 kW turbine would
produce 25 kWh per day.
-
3.
- 3. **Total Turbines Required**:
-
4.
- - **Total Wind Turbines Required**: Approximately 1 turbine.
-
5.
- - This is calculated for a 3 kW turbine with an average of 5 effective full-power hours
per day.
-
6.
- - **Wind Turbines**: The effectiveness of wind turbines depends heavily on local
wind conditions. The number needed could vary significantly based on average wind
speeds and consistency.
The facility would likely require a combination of 10 solar panels or at least 1 wind turbine to
meet its energy needs, based on average conditions. The choice of battery type for backup storage
will depend on factors like budget, space, lifespan, and environmental impact, with each type
having different mineral requirements. This setup can provide a sustainable and reliable
energy supply for the village’s needs, aligning with environmental and self-sufficiency
goals.
Calculating Battery Capacity Requirements
- - **Battery Capacity for 3 Days**: 44 kWh
- - **Each Battery Type’s Capacity**: Will vary based on the specific battery
technology and efficiency.
Iron-Phosphate (LiFePO4) Batteries
- Energy Density: Typically around 90-120 Wh/kg.
- Battery Weight for 43.71 kWh: Assuming an average energy density of 105 Wh/kg,
the total battery weight would be:
- Battery Weight=Total Capacity in kWh×1000Energy Density in Wh/kgBattery
Weight=Energy Density in Wh/kgTotal Capacity in kWh×1000
- Mineral Content: LiFePO4 batteries contain lithium, iron, and phosphate. The
proportion of these materials in the battery varies based on design, but typically
includes about 2-7% lithium, with the rest being iron and phosphate.
- Estimated Weight: Approximately 417 kg
- Mineral Content: Contains about 2-7% lithium by weight, with the remainder being
iron and phosphate.
Lead-Acid Batteries
- Energy Density: About 30-50 Wh/kg.
- Battery Weight for 43.71 kWh: Assuming an average energy density of 40 Wh/kg, the
total battery weight would be:
- Mineral Content: Lead-acid batteries are primarily made up of lead and sulfuric acid.
The lead constitutes a significant portion of the battery’s weight.
- Estimated Weight: Approximately 1092 kg
- Mineral Content: Primarily composed of lead and sulfuric acid, with lead constituting
a significant portion of the weight.
Lithium-Ion Batteries
- Energy Density: Ranges from 150-250 Wh/kg.
- Battery Weight for 43.71 kWh: Assuming an average energy density of 200 Wh/kg,
the total battery weight would be:
- Mineral Content: Lithium-ion batteries contain lithium, cobalt, nickel, manganese,
and graphite. The proportions vary, but lithium typically constitutes about 3-8
- Estimated Weight: Approximately 218 kg
- Mineral Content: Contains lithium (3-8% by weight), cobalt, nickel, manganese, and
graphite. The exact proportions vary based on the specific battery chemistry.
Let’s perform these calculations to estimate the battery weights and get a sense of the mineral
requirements for each type. Estimated Battery Weights for 43.71 kWh Storage Capacity
Iron-Phosphate (LiFePO4) Batteries
Conclusion
- Iron-Phosphate Batteries: Offer a balance between weight and safety, with a moderate
weight compared to lithium-ion.
- Lead-Acid Batteries: The heaviest option due to lower energy density, but cheaper
and well-established.
- Lithium-Ion Batteries: The lightest option with the highest energy density, but require
a range of minerals, including cobalt and nickel, which can be more costly and have
sourcing considerations.
These estimates provide a basis for understanding the trade-offs between different battery
types in terms of weight and mineral composition. The choice of battery will depend on factors
such as budget, space availability, environmental impact, and the sustainability of sourcing the
required minerals.
4.12 Waste Management
- Recycling Sorting: A local facility for sorting recyclable materials can reduce waste
and support local circular economy initiatives. This can be done by human power.
- Transport to County Landfill: For non-recyclable and non-compostable waste, regular
transport to a county-level facility will be necessary.
- Humanure and Organic Waste Processing: A facility to process humanure safely is
crucial. This can turn waste into valuable compost for agricultural use. while also
producing biogas.
4.13 Humanure Biogas Facility
4.13.1 Introduction
The proposed humanure biogas facility is designed to process organic waste, primarily human
feces, from a community of 360 people. The facility converts this waste into valuable bio-CNG
(Compressed Natural Gas) and agricultural compost, utilizing anaerobic digestion, gas
purification, and compression technologies.
4.13.2 Inputs
-
1.
- Human Feces: The primary input is the fecal matter from 360 people as it needs to be
processed to avoid pathogens. Each person produces 0.125kg/day, or 0.896kg/week,
per week 360 people produce 322kg. People could drop off their household fecal
production (5.37kg) once a week at their community centre (church on Sunday), and
the community horse/oxen and buggy could take it to the village processing centre
once a week (Monday). Which would be a weekly buggy load of 54kg.
-
2.
- Additional Organic Waste: To optimize gas production, additional organic waste such
as food scraps can be included. At up to 0.5kg/day could be up to 1260kg per week.
Which for a community of 60 could be up to 210kg and would need multiple trips for
a single horse/oxen buggy. Food waste would be optional to contribute as they are
easy to compost on site, and many people have less food waste than 0.5kg/day, but
is dependent on the village biogas requirements.
4.13.3 Processes and Major Chambers
-
1.
- Anaerobic Digestion Chamber:
- Function: Breakdown of organic waste in the absence of oxygen, producing raw
biogas (a mixture of methane, carbon dioxide, and trace gases).
- Design: A sealed, oxygen-free tank equipped with temperature control and
mixing systems.
-
2.
- Biogas Purification System:
-
(a)
- Water Scrubbing Unit:
- Function: Removal of carbon dioxide and hydrogen sulfide from biogas.
- Components: Air compressor, scrubbing column, water circulation system.
-
(b)
- Dehumidification (Refrigeration) Unit:
- Function: Removal of water vapor from the scrubbed biogas.
- Components: Refrigeration unit, condensate trap.
-
3.
- Biogas Compression System:
- Function: Compressing purified biogas to store as bio-CNG.
- Components: Gas compressor, high-pressure storage tanks.
4.13.4 Outputs
- Bio-CNG: A renewable energy source for cooking, heating, or transportation. 1kg
organic waste produces 0.25m3 biogas, or 0.15m3 Bio-CNG (5.37MJ). 320kg of fecal
matter could produce 48m3 Bio-CNG (1.7GJ) per week, or for 1260kg of food waste
can produce 189m3 (6.7GJ) Bio-CNG. For a maximum combined total of 237m3 of
Bio-CNG or 8.4GJ.
- Agricultural Compost: Nutrient-rich digestate from the anaerobic digester, suitable
for use as a soil conditioner. Can be mixed one part digestate to three parts wood
chips to use as a top dressing fertilizer.
4.13.5 Maintenance and Manpower Requirements
To estimate how long it would take for an air compressor to compress 80 cubic meters
(m) of air in a week (from 320kg fecal matter), we need to consider the flow rate of
the compressor, which is typically measured in cubic feet per minute (CFM) or cubic
meters per minute. The flow rate can vary widely based on the size and model of the
compressor.
Assumptions
- Compressor Flow Rate: Let’s assume a modest flow rate for a small to medium-sized
compressor. Common flow rates can range from about 0.1 to 1.0 m/min (or 3.5 to
35 CFM). We’ll use an average value of 0.5 m/min for this calculation.
- Total Volume to Compress: 80 m per week.
Calculation
- Time to Compress 80 m: Total Volume to CompressCompressor Flow
RateCompressor Flow RateTotal Volume to Compress.
- Converting Time to Hours: Since we are using m/min, the result will initially be in
minutes. We’ll need to convert this to hours for practical understanding.
Let’s calculate the time it would take to compress 80 m of air per week with our assumed
flow rate.
It would take approximately 2.67 hours to compress 80 cubic meters of air per week with an
air compressor having a flow rate of 0.5 cubic meters per minute.
This is a relatively short amount of time, suggesting that running the compressor for a few
hours each week would be sufficient to meet the needs of the biogas facility. This time can be
spread out over the week as needed, depending on the production rate of biogas and the storage
capacity.
With the adjusted runtimes of 4 hours per week for each component (air compressor,
refrigeration unit, and gas compressor) and using average power ratings, the daily energy
consumption for the biogas facility is approximately 5.43 kWh. This leads to a total weekly
energy consumption of about 38 kWh (136MJ), if using 35% efficient biogas-to-electricity
generator would use 391MJ of Bio-CNG. 1.7GJ/391MJ yields an EROI of 4, not including human
and animal power, though would leave 1.3GJ or 36m2 of biogas, enough to fill the van and then
some.
Monitoring
- Monitoring by Human Means: Manual monitoring can significantly reduce electrical
consumption, relying on trained personnel for regular checks.
- Battery-Operated Sensors: For critical monitoring like fire and gas alarms, small,
battery-operated sensors can be used. These devices typically have a low power
requirement and can last a long time on battery power.
Stirring of Digestate
- Animal Power: Using animal power, such as a horse/oxen, to stir the digestate is a
creative and sustainable solution. This method would significantly reduce electricity
usage and can be quite effective.
- Implementation: A mechanism can be designed where a horse/oxen walks in a
circle, turning a shaft connected to stirrers inside the digester. This kind of setup
has historical precedents in agricultural machinery and would be well-suited for a
community aiming for sustainability and reduced energy use.
Conclusion
With these adjustments, the biogas facility’s energy requirements become much more
manageable and sustainable, potentially allowing for the entire operation to be powered by the
biogas produced on-site. The use of animal power for stirring the digestate further enhances the
facility’s sustainability profile. This setup makes the facility highly energy-efficient and in
harmony with permaculture principles
4.13.6 Sustainability and Safety
- Renewable Energy Source: The facility contributes to sustainability by converting
waste into clean energy.
- Safety Measures: Proper ventilation, gas leak detectors, and emergency shutdown
systems are essential for safe operation.
- Environmental Benefit: Reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and promotion of
organic waste recycling.
4.13.7 Bio-CNG Usage
Using biogas instead of charcoal for certain traditional processes is indeed a sustainable
alternative that can conserve wood resources. Traditional charcoal making required 10x as much
firewood as charcoal it produces, and led to a lot of deforestation. Let’s focus on industries
traditionally reliant on charcoal that could benefit from bio-CNG:
- A blacksmith forge uses 1-3m3 of Bio-CNG per hour, depending on complexity from
minutes to hours (min 1m2).
- Metal casting uses 2-5m3 of bio-CNG per hour, and lasts 1-4 hours (min 2m2).
- Glass making uses 2-6m3 of bio-CNG per hour, and lasts 2-6 hours (min 5m2).
- Wood chipper (small industrial machinery) uses 2-6m3 of bio-CNG per hour, (min
2m3).
- Ceramic kiln uses 2-5 m3 of Bio-CNG per hour, 8-12 for bisque, and 24 for glaze (min
16m2).
- Lime production uses 4-8m3 of bio-CNG per hour, and lasts 8-24 hours (min 32m2).
- A CNG van uses 17.7m3 of Bio-CNG per 100km, (32m2 for full tank).
4.13.8 Conclusion
The humanure biogas facility represents a sustainable approach to waste management and energy
production for a community of 360 people. By efficiently converting human waste into bio-CNG
and compost, the facility can significantly contribute to the community’s energy needs while
reducing environmental impact. With a dedicated team for operation and maintenance, and the
right technical setup, this facility can be a model for sustainable living and energy
independence.
5 Neighbourhood/Microrayon (Around 5,040):
-
1.
- Council comprises as many as 14-16 village leaders and elect a neighbourhood leader
from amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Intermediate Governance: Addressing concerns of multiple villages or urban
neighborhoods.
-
3.
- Community Service Officer (CSO): serve in a non-sworn (non-badge-carrying)
capacity and assist with tasks like traffic control, minor accident reports, and other
non-criminal calls for service.
-
4.
- Neighbourhood FM/VHF Radio: in the 100W range may suffice for neighbourhood
broadcasts, such as neighbourhood meetings.
-
5.
- Neighbourhood Radio Network: Can co-ordinate with village radio networks;
-
6.
- Education: Establishing and maintaining secondary schools.
-
7.
- Healthcare: Running local clinics or health centers.
-
8.
- Markets: a neighborhood is typically large enough to support a farmers’ market or
similar local commerce centers.
-
9.
- Energy: Can have a Fischer-Tropsch process facility in each neighbourhood, converting
surplus biomass into biofuels like gasoline, diesel, etc.
-
10.
- The neighbourhood leader represents the neighbourhood at the city level.
5.1 Fisher-Tropsch Process
Biomass can be dried and then gasified to make carbon monoxide, that can then be used by the
FT process to make a variety of fuels, including gasoline, diesel, naptha, kerosene, etc, at around
60% efficiency. Overall after both gasification, and FT-process have about one third of the original
energy. So a tonne of wood, would yield about 180 litres of gasoline, assuming optimal
efficiency.
6 City (Around 55,440):
-
1.
- Council comprises as many as 11-16 neighbourhoods and elects a Mayor from amongst
themselves.
-
2.
- Urban Planning: Zoning, city development, and infrastructure planning.
-
3.
- Bylaw Enforcement Officer (BEO): known as a code enforcement officer in some places,
they enforce municipal bylaws, including animal control, property standards, parking,
and other local regulations.
-
4.
- City FM/VHF Radio: in the 1000W range may suffice for city wide broadcasts.
-
5.
- City Radio Network: can co-ordinate with neighbourhood radio networks.
-
6.
- Advanced Healthcare: Hospitals and specialized medical facilities.
-
7.
- Higher Education: Colleges, universities, and vocational training centers.
-
8.
- Utilities: Water supply, sewage, and larger energy projects like hydroelectric or
thorium plants to facilitate industrial production.
-
9.
- Public Transport: Buses, trams, and other intra-city transportation. As well as railway
access for inter-city transport.
-
10.
- The Mayor represents the city at the regional level.
6.1 Nuclear Reserves
Nuclear reserves are finite, and can not be regenerated, since they were created by supernovae
explosions, so they have to be managed very well. It is estimated that 4th density will be 30
million years, so ideally nuclear reserves should last at least that long. We have 5.5 million metric
tonnes of uranium reserves, and thorium is about 3 times more abundant, so estimated reserves
are 16.5 million tonnes, or 22 million tonnes in total. Which means we can use about 730kg per
year globally.
World Nuclear says 1kg produces about 82TJ of heat
energy .
So 1g producing 82GJ, and modern heat to electricity conversion is 33%, so would produce
about 27GJ or 7.5MWh. So 730kg produces about 60PJ heat or 20PJ electricity, or
5.5TWh, over the course of a year that’s a global electricity production of 15GWh per
day.
Each city can specialize in a different item that they produce, or in a more general purpose
way produce several kinds of things.
6.2 Computer Chip Manufacturing
Creating a small-scale, prototype-level semiconductor fabrication facility, especially for Silicon
Carbide (SiC) chips, involves gathering a wide array of specialized tools and equipment. Given the
context of a university or research institution’s clean room for experimental purposes, the setup is
not aimed at mass production but rather at enabling the development and testing of
semiconductor devices. Here’s a simplified list of essential items and tools, along with their
approximate costs. These figures can vary significantly based on the specific requirements,
equipment quality, and supplier.
6.2.1 Clean Room Construction and Environment Control
-
1.
- Clean Room Construction: The cost depends on the size and class of the clean
room. A basic small-scale clean room (Class 1000 or 10000) might start around $200
to $600 per square foot. For a modest 500 square foot area, this translates to $100,000
to $300,000.
-
2.
- HVAC and Filtration Systems: Critical for maintaining clean room standards.
High-efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filters are a significant component, costing
$1,000 to $5,000 each, with the overall system potentially reaching $50,000 to $200,000
depending on capacity and clean room class.
6.2.2 Fabrication Equipment
-
3.
- Sublimation Furnace for SiC Growth: This is specific to SiC wafer production.
A small, research-grade sublimation furnace could cost $50,000 to $200,000.
-
4.
- Wafer Slicer: To cut the crystal into wafers. A precision wafer slicer can range from
$30,000 to $100,000.
-
5.
- Chemical Vapor Deposition (CVD) System: For depositing layers on the wafers.
Benchtop models start around $50,000, with larger systems reaching $500,000 or more.
-
6.
- Photolithography Equipment: Includes mask aligners and a UV light source.
Prices range from $50,000 for basic models to over $500,000 for advanced systems
capable of finer resolutions.
-
7.
- Etching Equipment: For patterning the wafer. Wet etch stations might cost $10,000
to $30,000, while dry etching systems (e.g., reactive ion etching) can exceed $100,000.
-
8.
- Ion Implantation Machine: For doping the semiconductor material. Small,
research-focused ion implanters can cost from $100,000 to $500,000.
-
9.
- Metallization System: For adding metal contacts. Sputtering machines range from
$50,000 to $300,000.
-
10.
- Inspection and Testing Equipment: Microscopes, profilometers, and electrical
testing equipment are essential for quality control. Costs can range from $10,000 for
basic tools to over $100,000 for advanced imaging systems.
-
11.
- Safety and Handling Equipment: Includes fume hoods, acid cabinets, and
personal protective equipment. Initial setup might cost $10,000 to $50,000.
6.2.3 Overall Estimate
- Total Initial Setup Cost: For a modestly equipped facility that can handle SiC and
Si chip fabrication on a small scale, initial costs can range from $500,000 to several
million dollars. This estimate includes the clean room, basic fabrication tools, and
initial materials but does not account for ongoing operational costs such as utilities,
maintenance, materials, and labor.
It’s important to note that these costs are approximate and can vary widely based on the specific
goals of the facility, the level of technology pursued, and the geographical location. Additionally,
purchasing used equipment or partnering with an existing institution could significantly reduce
initial outlays. This endeavor requires careful planning and consultation with experts in
semiconductor fabrication to tailor the facility to the specific research and development
goals.
6.2.4 Chip Recycling
pure silicon chips recycling is complicated, requiring a series of complex chemical baths. But SiC
chip recycling is more straightforward, more list distillation.
Yes, in principle, the Physical Vapor Transport (PVT) process can effectively separate Silicon
Carbide (SiC) from impurities found in shredded SiC chips, under the right conditions. The
process’s inherent mechanism allows for the purification of SiC by exploiting its sublimation
properties. Here’s how it works in the context of recycling:
-
1.
- Sublimation of SiC: At high temperatures, SiC can sublimate, meaning it transitions
directly from a solid to a gas without passing through a liquid phase. This property is
key to the PVT process. Impurities that do not sublimate at the same temperatures
as SiC would not vaporize and thus can be left behind.
-
2.
- Selective Deposition: As the gaseous SiC is transported and cools down, it
recrystallizes on a substrate, forming high-purity SiC crystals. The conditions within
the PVT chamber—such as temperature gradients, pressure, and gas flow—are
carefully controlled to promote the growth of SiC crystals with minimal defects and
impurities.
-
3.
- Leaving Behind Impurities: The impurities present in the shredded SiC chips, which
might include metals, oxides, or other materials from the original device construction,
typically have different physical and chemical properties from SiC, such as different
sublimation points. These differences allow the PVT process to selectively deposit SiC
while leaving behind impurities in the residue.
-
4.
- Purity Enhancement: The process is particularly effective in enhancing the purity
of SiC because it can selectively ”distill” SiC in its vapor phase, reducing the
incorporation of impurities into the growing crystal.
6.2.5 Considerations:
- Effectiveness: The effectiveness of using PVT for recycling shredded SiC chips into
pure SiC depends on the types and quantities of impurities present. The process is
best suited for materials where SiC is the primary component, and impurities are
relatively minimal or have significantly different sublimation properties.
- Energy Requirements: The high temperatures required for SiC sublimation mean that
the PVT process is energy-intensive. This factor must be considered when evaluating
the overall efficiency and environmental impact of recycling SiC using PVT.
- Economic Viability: The cost of the PVT process, considering the energy requirements
and equipment needed, versus the value of the recovered high-purity SiC, is a crucial
factor in determining its economic viability as a recycling method.
In summary, while the PVT process offers a potentially effective method for recycling shredded
SiC chips by leveraging the sublimation of SiC to separate it from impurities, considerations
regarding energy use, process control, and economic factors play crucial roles in its applicability
and efficiency as a recycling strategy.
6.2.6 Why focus on SiC instead of Si chips?
For our primary applications which is mostly managing high power industrial processes and radio
communication SiC is ideal.
The band gap of a semiconductor material is a fundamental property that significantly affects
its electronic and optical behavior, impacting its suitability for various applications,
including computer chips. Silicon Carbide (SiC) has a wider band gap compared to
Silicon (Si), and this difference has real-world implications for their use in semiconductor
devices:
6.2.7 Band Gap Differences:
- Silicon (Si) has a band gap of about 1.12 eV (electron volts) at room temperature.
- Silicon Carbide (SiC), depending on the polytype (crystal structure), has a band gap
ranging from about 2.3 eV to 3.3 eV.
6.2.8 Implications for Computer Chips and Electronic Devices:
-
1.
- High-Temperature Operation:
- SiC’s wider band gap means it can operate at higher temperatures than Si
without suffering from intrinsic carrier generation (leakage currents). This makes
SiC devices ideal for high-temperature applications, such as automotive and
industrial electronics, where Si devices might fail or require additional cooling.
-
2.
- High Voltage and Power Efficiency:
- The wider band gap of SiC allows for devices that can withstand higher voltages
and reduce energy loss during power conversion. This leads to more efficient
power devices, crucial for electric vehicles, renewable energy systems, and power
grids.
-
3.
- Frequency Performance:
- SiC devices can operate at higher frequencies than Si devices with lower losses.
High-frequency operation is beneficial for applications like RF (radio frequency)
devices and fast switching power electronics, where SiC can offer improved
performance and efficiency.
-
4.
- Durability and Longevity:
- SiC devices tend to have superior durability and can withstand harsher
environments compared to Si. This includes better resistance to radiation,
making SiC suitable for space applications, and greater mechanical strength for
more robust devices.
-
5.
- Thermal Conductivity:
- SiC has higher thermal conductivity than Si, allowing for better heat dissipation.
This property, combined with high-temperature stability, enables SiC devices
to operate efficiently in conditions where Si might require extensive cooling
solutions.
6.2.9 Application Areas:
- Power Electronics: SiC is widely used in power electronic devices for efficient power
conversion, significantly impacting electric vehicles, solar inverters, and high-voltage
direct current (HVDC) transmission systems.
- RF and Microwave Applications: The high-frequency performance of SiC makes it
suitable for RF and microwave applications, including radar and communication
systems.
- Harsh Environment Electronics: The robustness of SiC against high temperatures,
radiation, and mechanical stress makes it ideal for aerospace, automotive, and
industrial applications.
6.2.10 Conclusion:
The real-world difference made by the wider band gap of SiC compared to Si is significant,
allowing SiC to fill roles where Si is less efficient or unsuitable. While Si remains the backbone of
standard computing and general electronics due to its lower cost and well-established
manufacturing ecosystem, SiC’s properties enable advances in power electronics, high-temperature
operations, and applications requiring high durability and efficiency.
6.3 Solar Panel Manufacturing
Creating a solar panel production facility, especially for a municipality-scale operation aimed at
fulfilling local needs or potentially contributing to a broader market, involves several critical steps
and significant investment. The scope and cost of such a venture can vary widely based on the
facility’s intended capacity, the technology of the solar panels produced (e.g., crystalline silicon vs.
thin-film technologies), and the degree of automation. Below is a simplified breakdown of the key
components and a rough estimate of the costs involved in setting up a modest solar panel
manufacturing plant.
6.3.1 Key Components of a Solar Panel Production Facility
-
1.
- Manufacturing Area and Equipment: The core of the facility, where solar cells
are produced and assembled into panels. This includes:
- Silicon Ingot and Wafer Production (for crystalline silicon panels): Involves
creating silicon ingots from raw polysilicon and slicing them into wafers.
Equipment costs can range from $1 million to $10 million, depending on
production capacity.
- Cell Production: Equipment for doping, coating, and printing circuits on the
wafers to create solar cells. This can cost between $2 million and $5 million.
- Panel Assembly: Machines for soldering cells together, laying out the panels,
and encapsulating the cells. Assembly line setup can range from $500,000 to $2
million.
-
2.
- Testing and Quality Control Equipment: Essential for ensuring the panels meet
efficiency and durability standards. Costs can vary widely, from $100,000 for basic setups to
over $1 million for advanced testing labs.
-
3.
- Factory Building: The physical structure housing the production lines, including clean
rooms for certain processes. Construction costs depend on the location and size
but expect to spend several million dollars—$5 million to $20 million could be
a starting point for a facility capable of producing a modest number of panels
annually.
-
4.
- Raw Materials: Initial stock of polysilicon (for crystalline silicon panels), metals for
contacts, glass, and encapsulation materials. The initial outlay can be $1 million to $5
million, depending on the scale.
-
5.
- Utilities and Infrastructure: Solar panel manufacturing is energy-intensive, especially for
crystalline silicon panels. Initial setup for energy, water, and waste management
infrastructure can add $1 million to $5 million, depending on local utility costs and
environmental regulations.
-
6.
- R&D and Office Spaces: Areas for administration, sales, and research activities. Building
and outfitting these spaces can add $1 million to $3 million.
6.3.2 Overall Cost Estimate
Given these components, the total initial investment for setting up a modest solar panel
production facility is likely in the range of $10 million to $50 million. This estimate covers the
basics for starting production but does not include ongoing operational costs such as salaries,
utilities, maintenance, and raw material purchases, which can significantly add to the total
expenditure.
6.3.3 Considerations
- Economies of Scale: Solar panel manufacturing benefits significantly from
economies of scale. Larger facilities can produce panels at a lower cost per unit but
require a higher initial investment.
- Technology Choice: Crystalline silicon panels are the most common and have high
efficiency, but thin-film panels offer simpler manufacturing processes and lower initial
costs, though with generally lower efficiencies.
- Market and Regulatory Environment: Incentives, tariffs, and local regulations
can significantly impact the viability and profitability of solar panel manufacturing
ventures. It’s crucial to conduct a detailed market analysis and regulatory review
before committing to such an investment.
6.3.4 Conclusion
Starting a solar panel manufacturing facility represents a substantial investment, with costs
heavily dependent on the facility’s scale, technology, and location. While the initial outlay is
significant, the growing demand for renewable energy sources and potential government incentives
can make solar panel production an attractive investment. However, thorough market research,
financial planning, and consideration of technological and regulatory factors are essential before
proceeding.
6.3.5 Energy Requirements
Manufacturing Energy: The energy required to manufacture crystalline silicon solar panels
primarily goes into the production of high-purity silicon, ingot casting, wafer slicing, cell
production, and panel assembly. The most energy-intensive step is the creation of polysilicon and
the subsequent melting and crystallization to form ingots. A rough estimate for the total energy
consumption ranges from 1,200 to 2,000 kWh per kW of panel capacity produced,
though advances in technology and process efficiency are continually reducing these
figures.
Operational Energy: For a facility aimed at producing a significant volume of panels (e.g.,
enough to power a municipality of 55,000 people), the operational energy demand could be
substantial, potentially requiring a few megawatts (MW) of continuous power supply. This
depends on the facility’s output and the efficiency of the equipment used.
6.4 Thin Film Solar Panels
6.4.1 Thin-Film Solar Panel Manufacturing Process
-
1.
- Substrate Preparation: The process starts with the preparation of substrates,
which can be glass, flexible metal, or plastic. These substrates are cleaned and
prepared for the deposition of photovoltaic materials.
-
2.
- Deposition: Photovoltaic materials are deposited onto the substrate using techniques
such as chemical vapor deposition (CVD), sputtering, or evaporation. The choice of
deposition technique and the material composition can vary based on the type of
thin-film technology being produced (e.g., CdTe, CIGS, a-Si).
-
3.
- Patterning and Interconnection: After deposition, the thin films are patterned
and interconnected to form the actual photovoltaic cells. This often involves laser
scribing or mechanical patterning.
-
4.
- Encapsulation: The final step involves encapsulating the photovoltaic cells with a
protective layer to ensure durability and longevity. This usually includes a layer of
glass or a durable polymer.
6.4.2 Cost Considerations
The cost to set up a thin-film solar panel manufacturing facility can vary widely based on the
technology used, the scale of the operation, and the degree of automation. However, thin-film
production generally requires less energy and lower material costs than crystalline silicon panels,
which can result in lower overall startup and operational costs.
-
1.
- Manufacturing Equipment: The primary cost driver in thin-film solar panel
production is the deposition equipment, which can range from $2 million to $10
million, depending on the capacity and the specific technology (CdTe, CIGS, a-Si).
-
2.
- Factory Infrastructure: Building a factory with the necessary clean rooms and
environmental controls can cost between $5 million and $20 million, largely depending
on the facility’s size and location.
-
3.
- Testing and Quality Control: Setting up a testing lab to ensure panel quality and
efficiency can cost from $100,000 to over $1 million for more sophisticated setups.
-
4.
- Raw Materials: Initial costs for photovoltaic materials, substrates, and encapsulants
can range from $1 million to $5 million, depending on the scale of production and the
materials used.
6.4.3 Overall Cost Estimate
Considering these factors, the initial investment for setting up a thin-film solar panel
manufacturing facility can range from $10 million to $40 million. This estimate is for a
modestly scaled operation and could be lower or higher based on specific production technologies,
desired capacities, and local factors such as labor and utility costs.
6.4.4 Additional Considerations
- Economies of Scale: Similar to crystalline silicon panel production, thin-film
manufacturing benefits from economies of scale. Larger production volumes can
significantly reduce the cost per panel.
- Market and Efficiency: Thin-film panels generally have lower efficiency than
crystalline silicon panels, which can impact their marketability. However, their
flexibility, lower weight, and ease of installation offer competitive advantages in certain
applications.
- Environmental and Regulatory: Certain thin-film materials, particularly
cadmium in CdTe panels, are toxic and require careful handling and disposal.
Compliance with environmental regulations can add to the operational costs.
Starting a thin-film solar panel manufacturing facility offers a promising entry point into the solar
energy market, particularly for investors interested in alternative photovoltaic technologies with
potentially lower upfront costs. However, careful planning and market analysis are essential to
ensure the venture’s success, given the competitive and rapidly evolving nature of the solar
industry.
6.4.5 Mineral and Energy Requirements
Minerals: The key minerals required depend on the thin-film technology:
- CdTe: Requires cadmium and tellurium.
- CIGS: Needs copper, indium, gallium, and selenium.
- a-Si: Primarily silicon, with additional materials for doping (e.g., phosphorus, boron).
Energy: Energy consumption varies significantly with the scale of operation and the efficiency
of the manufacturing process. A facility might consume from 1 to 5 megawatts (MW) of power,
especially for high-temperature processes like deposition and sintering. The exact figure depends
on the technology used and the facility’s operational efficiency.
Thin-film solar panels, known for their flexibility and lower manufacturing costs compared to
crystalline silicon panels, use a different production process that layers photovoltaic material onto
a substrate. These panels can be made with various materials, including cadmium telluride
(CdTe), copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS), and amorphous silicon (a-Si), each offering
different efficiencies and manufacturing complexities.
6.5 Radio Equipment Manufacture
Manufacturing radio and communication equipment involves a broad array of technologies and
components, many of which are semiconductor-based. While the processes and tools used in solar
panel (including thin-film) production and ASIC manufacturing share foundational
elements with those used in the production of radio and communication devices, there are
also distinct differences and specific requirements. Let’s explore the compatibility and
differences.
6.5.1 Compatibility with Solar Panel/Thin Film and ASIC Facilities:
-
1.
- Semiconductor Devices: At the heart of radio and communication equipment
are semiconductor devices like transistors, diodes, and integrated circuits (ICs),
including ASICs designed for specific communication functions. The fabrication
of these semiconductor components can leverage similar clean rooms, deposition,
etching, and lithography equipment used in ASIC and, to a lesser extent, solar panel
manufacturing.
-
2.
- Precision Manufacturing: The precision manufacturing environment, including
contamination control and process monitoring, is crucial for both semiconductor
components and more specialized communication components like MEMS devices,
which might be used in radio frequency (RF) applications.
6.5.2 Specific Requirements for Radio and Communication Equipment Manufacturing:
-
1.
- RF Components: Manufacturing RF components for communication equipment,
such as antennas, RF amplifiers, and filters, often requires specialized materials and
processing techniques. For example, RF integrated circuits may use gallium arsenide
(GaAs) or gallium nitride (GaN) for their superior high-frequency performance
compared to silicon.
-
2.
- Packaging and Integration: The packaging of semiconductor devices for radio and
communication use often involves considerations for shielding, signal integrity, and
thermal management, which might require specialized equipment and facilities.
-
3.
- System Assembly and Testing: Beyond the semiconductor components, radio
and communication equipment assembly involves integrating various parts, including
PCBs (Printed Circuit Boards), connectors, and displays. This system-level assembly
and the subsequent functional testing might require additional space and equipment
not typically used in semiconductor or solar panel production.
6.5.3 Other Potential Manufactures in Similar Facilities:
Given the specialized nature of radio and communication equipment manufacturing, facilities
designed for semiconductor production (such as ASICs) are better suited for adaptation than
those designed for solar panel production. With modifications, such facilities could potentially be
used to produce:
- ASICs for Communication: Specific integrated circuits designed for processing
signals, managing power, or performing encryption in communication devices.
- RF MEMS: MicroElectroMechanical Systems designed for RF switching, filtering,
or frequency control.
- Optoelectronic Components: Including LEDs and photodetectors, which might
be used in communication systems, especially those involving fiber optics.
6.5.4 Conclusion:
While there is some overlap in the foundational manufacturing technologies, producing
radio and communication equipment in a facility originally designed for solar panel
or ASIC manufacturing would require significant adaptation, especially for RF and
system-level integration components. The semiconductor fabrication aspects of radio and
communication device production could potentially leverage existing clean room facilities
and equipment, but the specialized requirements for RF performance, packaging, and
system assembly would necessitate additional investments in specialized equipment and
expertise.
7 Higher Levels
7.1 County/Graff/Raion (Around to 720,720):
-
1.
- Comprises as many as 13-16 cities with a council of 13 mayors and selecting a county
leader from amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Regional Planning: Coordination between cities/towns within the region.
-
3.
- Public Safety Officer: Given the diverse environments within counties, officers with
training in multiple response capabilities can help maintain public safety across
different scenarios.
-
4.
- County AM Radio: AM Radio in the 10-20KW range may suffice for public broadcasts
of county meetings, better propogation at night.
-
5.
- County Radio Network: Municipal FM radio stations can be co-ordinated together
for county wide broadcasts such as county meetings.
-
6.
- Major Infrastructure: Maintaining transportation (like regional roads, bridges) and
the energy grid.
-
7.
- Environmental Protection: Conservation efforts, regional parks, and waste
management.
-
8.
- Regional Commerce: Promoting trade and commerce across the region.
-
9.
- The county leader represents the county at the provincial level.
7.2 Province/Oblast (Around 4,324,320):
-
1.
- Comprises as many as 6-8 counties, with a council of county leaders and select an
Oblast leader from amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Legislation: Enacting laws specific to the oblast.
-
3.
- Provincial Enforcement Officer: This designation would handle provincial laws,
regulations, and codes that are not covered by other law enforcement agencies.
They might have specializations in areas like environmental enforcement, wildlife
conservation, or transportation regulations.
-
4.
- Oblast AM Radio: in the 20-50kW range may suffice for public broadcasts but may
need multiple stations, better propogation at night.
-
5.
- Oblast HF Radio: in the 20-100kW range may suffice for public broadcasts, 3-10MHz
at night and 10-30MHz in the daytime.
-
6.
- Oblast Radio Network: Consisting of Oblast HF, AM and County Radio Networks
can be co-ordinated together for oblast wide broadcasts such as oblast meetings.
-
7.
- Major Infrastructure: Highways, major transportation hubs like airports and train
stations.
-
8.
- Land and Property: Maintaining a land distribution registry.
-
9.
- Policing: Handling minor offenses and maintaining oblast police forces.
-
10.
- The oblast leader represents the province at the country level.
7.3 Country (Around 21,621,600):
-
1.
- Comprises as many as 5-8 oblasts with oblast leaders being the council and selecting
a Country leader from amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Legislation: Enacting national laws and regulations.
-
3.
- National Peace Officer: A more comprehensive role that encompasses the enforcement
of national laws and regulations. They would work in conjunction with other
specialized enforcement divisions within the country, such as immigration or customs,
and might also coordinate with defense forces or intelligence agencies on matters of
national security.
-
4.
- Country HF Radio: in the 50-250kW range may suffice for public broadcasts, 3-10MHz
at night and 10-30MHz in the daytime.
-
5.
- Country Radio Network: Country HF and Oblast radio networks can be co-ordinated
together for country wide broadcasts such as country meetings.
-
6.
- International Relations: Managing foreign policy, international trade, and treaties.
-
7.
- National Defense: Maintaining the armed forces and ensuring national security.
-
8.
- Major Policing: Handling major offenses and potentially having a federal investigative
agency.
-
9.
- Currency and Economy: Managing national fiscal and monetary policy.
-
10.
- The Country leader represents the province at the Union level.
7.4 Union (Around 367,567,200):
-
1.
- Comprises up to 16/17 countries, with country leaders being the council and selecting
a union leader amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Regional Peacekeeping: Ensuring stability and peace within the union’s member
states.
-
3.
- Union Security Officer: Their role would be more about ensuring the stable and
peaceful interactions between countries within the union. They might also be
responsible for safeguarding union-specific institutions, assets, or events.
-
4.
- Trade and Commerce: Establishing a common market and potentially having a
common currency.
-
5.
- Regulation Harmonization: Creating regional standards and regulations.
-
6.
- Joint Research and Development: Collaborative projects focusing on regional
challenges in science, technology, and other fields.
-
7.
- Cultural Exchange: Promoting understanding and exchange between the cultures of
member states.
-
8.
- Union Broadcasts: Union-wide broadcasts, including translations as needed.
-
9.
- Environmental Initiatives: Joint efforts to address regional environmental challenges.
-
10.
- Joint Infrastructure Projects: Such as regional railways, highways, or energy grids.
-
11.
- Dispute Resolution: Mediating conflicts or disputes between member countries.
-
12.
- The Union leader represents the union at the Planetary level.
7.5 Continental (Around 6,983,776,800 or a continent/subcontinent)
-
1.
- Can comprise up to 16/19 Unions, potentially spanning a continent with union leaders
being the council and selecting a Continental leader amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Continental Peacekeeping: Overseeing large-scale peace initiatives and conflicts that
span across unions.
-
3.
- Continental Trade Framework: Establishing guidelines for trade between unions,
enhancing economic growth across the continent.
-
4.
- Continental Cultural Events: Organizing large-scale cultural events or festivals
showcasing the diversity of the continent.
-
5.
- Continental Infrastructure Projects: Such as continent-spanning communication
networks, transportation systems, or pipelines.
-
6.
- Continental Environmental Oversight: Strategies for large-scale environmental
concerns affecting multiple unions.
-
7.
- Disaster Preparedness and Response: Coordinating responses to continental-wide
natural disasters or other major emergencies.
-
8.
- The Continental leader represents the Continent at the Planetary level.
7.6 Planetary Organization:
-
1.
- Comprises multiple 8-16 continents with a council of Continental leaders that select
a planetary leader amongst themselves.
-
2.
- Global Peacekeeping: Ensuring global peace and addressing conflicts with worldwide
implications.
-
3.
- Global Environmental Initiatives: Addressing challenges like climate change,
biodiversity loss, and ocean health.
-
4.
- Space Exploration: Coordinating efforts for satellites, space exploration, colonization,
and interstellar relations.
-
5.
- Global Health Initiatives: Addressing pandemics and other health crises affecting
humanity at large.
-
6.
- World Trade Regulation: Establishing and enforcing rules for global trade.
-
7.
- Cultural and Educational Exchange: Promoting global understanding and
collaboration in education and culture.
-
8.
- Global Infrastructure Projects: Such as planet-wide communication satellites or
transportation corridors.
-
9.
- Global Broadcasts: Planet-wide broadcasts coordinated with continental and union
networks.
-
10.
- Human Rights and Welfare: Establishing and enforcing global standards for human
rights, labor, and welfare.
-
11.
- Global Disaster Response: Directing and managing global disaster response efforts,
especially those that affect multiple continents.
-
12.
- Planetary leader represents the planet at the inter-planetary level.